03-05-2018 13:19
Consumer Price Index (CPI): April 2018 – Inflation -0,1%
In April 2018, the Consumer Price Index increased by 0,60 units to 99,87 units compared to 99,27 units in March 2018. Compared to April 2017, the CPI is decreased by 0,1% while for the period January-April 2018, the CPI is decreased by 0,4% compared to the corresponding period of the previous year. (Table 1)
In the twelve-month period from May 2017 to April 2018, in comparison to the period from May 2016 to April 2017, the annual average rate of change of the CPI was -0,1%. The corresponding annual average rate of change of the CPI in the previous twelve month period was -0,2%.
As regards the economic origin, the largest change, when compared to the index of April 2017, was recorded in Electricity with a decrease of -5,5%. In comparison to the index of the previous month, an increase of 2,9% was observed in Agricultural goods. (Table 2)
Analysis of changes
Compared to April 2017, the largest negative change was noted in Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco (-2,0%). (Table 1)
In comparison to the CPI of March 2018, an increase was noted in Clothing and Footwear (3,9%). (Table 1)
For the period between January-April 2018, compared to the corresponding period of the previous year, the largest negative change was noted in Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (-3,3%), while an increase was recorded in Transport (2,4%). (Table 1)
Analysis of effects
The category with the largest effect on the change of the CPI of April 2018 compared to the previous month, was the Clothing and Footwear (0,28). (Table 3)
The products/services with the most notable effect on the change of the CPI of April 2018 compared to the previous month were the following: vegetables (0,27), footwear (0,16) and clothing (0,11). (Table 4)
|
Table 1 |
|||||
Categories of Goods and Services |
CPI (2015=100) |
Change (%) |
||||
Mar 2018 |
Apr 2018 |
Apr 18/ Apr 17 |
Apr 18/ Mar 18 |
Jan- Apr 18/ Jan- Apr 17 |
||
Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages |
98,25 |
98,88 |
-0,22 |
0,64 |
-3,28 |
|
Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco |
97,50 |
97,37 |
-2,03 |
-0,13 |
-1,87 |
|
Clothing and Footwear |
99,22 |
103,05 |
-1,65 |
3,86 |
-2,29 |
|
Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels |
100,58 |
101,32 |
-0,33 |
0,74 |
0,12 |
|
Furnishings, Household Equipment and Routine Maintenance of the House |
95,80 |
96,54 |
-1,71 |
0,77 |
-1,84 |
|
Health |
101,87 |
101,87 |
0,21 |
0,00 |
0,42 |
|
Transport |
98,76 |
99,36 |
1,77 |
0,61 |
2,39 |
|
Communication |
97,30 |
97,27 |
-0,38 |
-0,03 |
-0,63 |
|
Recreation and Culture |
99,49 |
99,50 |
0,03 |
0,01 |
0,08 |
|
Education |
103,09 |
103,09 |
2,32 |
0,00 |
2,32 |
|
Restaurants and Hotels |
101,66 |
101,92 |
1,07 |
0,26 |
0,97 |
|
Miscellaneous Goods and Services |
98,98 |
98,60 |
-1,23 |
-0,38 |
-0,54 |
|
General Consumer Price Index |
99,27 |
99,87 |
-0,14 |
0,60 |
-0,41 |
|
Table 2 |
|||
Economic Origin |
Weights |
Change (%) |
|
Apr 18/ Apr 17 |
Apr 18/ Mar 18 |
||
General Index |
10000 |
-0,14 |
0,60 |
Agricultural goods |
655 |
-1,14 |
2,90 |
Industrial goods (excl. petroleum products) |
4195 |
-1,20 |
0,53 |
Electricity |
319 |
-5,53 |
1,89 |
Petroleum products |
550 |
1,49 |
0,68 |
Water |
57 |
-2,78 |
0,00 |
Services |
4224 |
1,25 |
0,18 |
Table 3 |
||
Categories of Goods and Services |
Weights |
Effect (units) |
Apr 18/ Mar 18 |
||
Food and non-alcoholic beverages |
1906 |
0,12 |
Alcoholic beverages, tobacco |
347 |
0,00 |
Clothing and footwear |
721 |
0,28 |
Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels |
1119 |
0,08 |
Furnishings, household equipment and routine maintenance of the house |
644 |
0,05 |
Health |
637 |
0,00 |
Transport |
1524 |
0,09 |
Communication |
439 |
0,00 |
Recreation and culture |
575 |
0,00 |
Education |
392 |
0,00 |
Restaurants and hotels |
836 |
0,02 |
Miscellaneous goods and services |
860 |
-0,03 |
General Consumer Price Index |
10000 |
0,60 |
Note: Totals are calculated on the basis of the effects of the categories with infinite decimal figures and rounded up to two decimals when published. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding error. |
Table 4 |
|
Goods/Services |
Effect (units) |
Apr 18/Mar 18 |
|
Positive effect |
|
Vegetables |
0,27 |
Footwear |
0,16 |
Clothing |
0,11 |
Electricity |
0,06 |
Petroleum products |
0,06 |
Negative effect |
|
Other goods and services |
-0,06 |
TOTAL |
0,60 |
METHODOLOGICAL NOTES
Definitions
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is compiled to measure the changes of prices over time of consumer goods and services acquired, used or paid by households. Specifically, the national CPI of Cyprus covers the consumption expenses of specific goods and services (shopping basket of goods and services), of the resident households and of the households that intend to live in Cyprus for at least one year. CPI is the official index for the estimation of inflation.
The Inflation shows the change of the CPI when compared with the index of the corresponding month of the previous year.
The Effect represents the amount of the overall change in the General Index which is accounted for by any given category.
Collection
The price collection is carried out only in urban districts of Nicosia, Larnaca, Limassol and Paphos. For each city, the fluctuations in the product prices each month, are weighted according to their population. Specifically, the weights for the four districts are: Nicosia 42%, Limassol 30%, Larnaca 18% and Paphos 10%.
The prices of 805 goods and services are recorded once every month, except for some seasonal products (e.g vegetables and fruits), meat and fuels, whose prices are collected every week (every Thursday).
Base year
The index reference period was 2005=100 for the period between January 2006 and December 2015. From January 2016 and onwards, the base year is 2015=100.
Classification
Until December 2015, COICOP 4 classification was used for the calculation and the dissemination of the CPI. From January 2016 and onwards, CYSTAT is adopting the ECOICOP classification satisfying relevant Eurostat’s Regulation. In other words, the lowest level of detail for the classification used in CPI is COICOP 5-digits.
Products/Services and weights
From January 2018 and onwards, the products included in the CPI as well as their corresponding weights have been revised. The revision was based on the results of the Household Budget Survey 2015/2016.
Further information
Constandia Papageorgiou: Tel: +35722602116, Email: cpapageorgiou@cystat.mof.gov.cy
Andri Eftychiou: Τel: +35725878595, Email: aeftychiou@cystat.mof.gov.cy
(MG)
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