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02-11-2023 15:34

Consumer Price Index (CPI): October 2023

Inflation 3,5%

In October 2023, the Consumer Price Index increased by 0,30 units and reached 117,97 units compared to 117,67 units in September 2023. In October 2023, the inflation increased by 3,5%. (Table 1)

For the period January-October 2023, the CPI increased by 3,9% compared to the corresponding period of the previous year. (Table 1)

As regards the economic origin, the largest positive change when compared to the index of October 2022 was recorded in Agricultural goods(6,9%). In comparison to the index of the previous month, the largest change was monitored in Electricity(3,5%). (Table 2)

Analysis of Percentage Changes

Compared to October 2022, the largest changes were monitored in the categories Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (5,5%) and Restaurants and Hotels (4,9%). (Table 1)

In comparison to the CPI of the previous month, the largest change was noted in Clothing and Footwear (3,4%).  (Table 1)

For the period January–October 2023, compared to the corresponding period of the previous year, the largest changes were recorded in Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (8,7%), Restaurants and Hotels (6,0%) and Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels (5,6%). (Table 1)

Analysis of Effects in Units

Compared to the Index of October 2022, the categoryFood and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (1,20) had the largest positive effect on the change of the CPI. (Table 3)

The largest effect on the change of the CPI compared to the previous month were recorded in categories Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (-0,32) and Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels (0,29). (Table 3)

Catering Services (0,45) had the most notable effect on the change of the CPI of October 2023 compared to October 2022. (Table 4)

Finally, Electricity (0,21), Clothing (0,17) and Fresh vegetables (-0,17) had the largest effects on the change of the CPI of October 2023 compared to the previous month. (Table 5)

 

Table 1

Categories of Goods

and Services

CPI (2015=100)

Change (%)

September

2023

October 2023

Oct 23/

Oct 22

Oct 23/ Sep 23

Jan- Oct 23/

Jan- Oct 22

Food and Non-Alcoholic

Beverages

123,48

121,79

5,46

-1,37

8,74

Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco

101,46

101,78

3,03

0,32

2,23

Clothing and Footwear

104,04

107,56

1,19

3,38

2,27

Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels

146,08

148,71

3,73

1,80

5,59

Furnishings, Household Equipment and Routine Maintenance of the House

106,18

106,17

2,47

-0,01

5,18

Health

105,41

105,44

1,52

0,03

1,55

Transport

122,53

122,23

2,99

-0,24

-1,52

Communication

91,34

91,34

-0,57

0,00

-1,68

Recreation and Culture

113,18

113,23

3,36

0,04

4,97

Education

111,60

111,91

2,39

0,28

1,91

Restaurants and Hotels

123,01

123,37

4,91

0,29

6,00

Miscellaneous Goods

and Services

108,92

109,61

4,22

0,63

4,27

General Consumer Price Index

117,67

117,97

3,47

0,25

3,92

 
 

Table 2

Economic Origin

Weights

Change (%)

Oct 23/ Oct 22

Oct 23/ Sep 23

Agricultural goods

749

6,86

-2,99

Industrial goods (excl.                           petroleum products)

4021

3,15

0,54

Electricity

316

5,35

3,49

Petroleum products

871

3,08

0,30

Water

72

3,76

0,00

Services

3971

2,95

0,26

General Index

10000

3,47

0,25

 
 

Table 3

Categories of Goods and Services

Weights

Effect (units)

Oct 23/ Oct 22

Oct 23/ Sep 23

Food and non-Alcoholic Beverages

1906

1,20

-0,32

Alcoholic Beverages, Tobacco

347

0,10

0,01

Clothing and Footwear

721

0,09

0,25

Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels

1119

0,60

0,29

Furnishings, Household Equipment and Routine Maintenance of the House

644

0,16

0,00

Health

637

0,10

0,00

Transport

1524

0,54

-0,05

Communication

439

-0,02

0,00

Recreation and Culture

575

0,21

0,00

Education

392

0,10

0,01

Restaurants and Hotels

836

0,48

0,03

Miscellaneous Goods and Services

860

0,38

0,06

General Consumer Price Index

10000

3,96

0,30

 
 

Note: Totals are calculated on the basis of the effects of the categories with infinite decimal figures and rounded up to two decimals when published. Figures June not add to totals due to rounding error.

 

Table 4

Goods/Services

Effect (units)

Oct 23/ Oct 22

Positive effect

 

Catering services

0,45

Petroleum products

0,32

Electricity

0,31

Fresh fruit

0,22

Fresh meat

0,22

Other goods and services

2,65

Negative effect

 

Airfares

-0,12

Potatoes

-0,09

TOTAL

3,96

 
 
 

Table 5

Goods/Services

Effect (units)

Oct 23/ Sep 23

Positive effect

 

Electricity

0,21

Clothing

0,17

Other goods and services

0,23

Negative effect

 

Fresh vegetables

-0,17

Fresh fruit

-0,14

TOTAL

0,30

 
 
 

Methodological notes

Definitions

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is compiled to measure the changes of prices over time of consumer goods and services acquired, used or paid by households. Specifically, the national CPI of Cyprus covers the consumption expenses of specific goods and services (shopping basket of goods and services) of the resident households and of the households that intend to live in Cyprus for at least one year. CPI is the official index for the estimation of inflation.

The Inflation shows the change of the CPI when compared with the index of the corresponding month of the previous year.

The Effect represents the amount of the overall change in the General Index which is accounted for by any given category.

Collection

The price collection is carried out only in urban districts of Lefkosia, Larnaka, Lemesos and Pafos. For each city, the fluctuations in the product prices each month are weighted according to their population. Specifically, the weights for the four districts are: Lefkosia 42%, Lemesos 30%, Larnaka 18% and Pafos 10%.

The prices of 805 goods and services are recorded once every month, except for some seasonal products (e.g vegetables and fruit), meat and fuels, whose prices are collected every week (every Thursday).

Base Year

The index reference period was 2005=100 for the period between January 2006 and December 2015. From January 2016 and onwards, the base year is 2015=100.

Classification

Until January 2015, COICOP 4 classification was used for the calculation and the dissemination of the CPI. From January 2016 and onwards, CYSTAT is adopting the ECOICOP classification satisfying relevant Eurostat’s Regulation. In other words, the lowest level of detail for the classification used in CPI is COICOP 5-digits.

Products/Services and Weights

From January 2018 and onwards, the products included in the CPI as well as their corresponding weights have been revised. The revision was based on the results of the Household Budget Survey 2015/2016.

For more information, visit the CYSTAT Portal, subtheme Price Indices, CYSTAT-DB (Online Database), Predefined Tables (Excel), Methodological Information.

It is noted that the Predefined Tables, available in Excel format, are updated up to and including December 2021. More recent data are published only on the CYSTAT-DB Online Database.

(AP/ΚΚ)