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07-03-2019 12:29

Consumer Price Index: February 2019

Inflation 1,2%

In February 2019, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0,03 units and reached 99,79 units compared to 99,76 units in January 2019. Compared to February 2018, the CPI increased by 1,2%. (Table 1)

In the twelve-month period from March 2018 to February 2019, in comparison to the period from March 2017 to February 2018, the annual average rate of change of the CPI was 1,8%. The corresponding annual average rate of change of the CPI in the previous twelve month period was 0,3%.

 

Comparing to the index of February 2018 and January 2019, the largest change in economic origin was recorded in Electricity, 20,4% and -8,5% respectively. (Table 2)

Analysis of changes

Compared to February 2018, the category Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels recorded the largest positive change with a percentage of 6,9%, while the category Communication (-6%) had the largest negative change. (Table 1)

In comparison to the CPI of the previous month, the largest change was noted in Clothing and Footwear (5,9%). (Table 1)

For the period between January-February 2019, compared to the corresponding period of the previous year, the largest change was recorded in Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels (8,4%). (Table 1)

Analysis of effects

Compared to February 2018, the categories with the largest positive effect on the change of the CPI were the following: Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages (0,98) and Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and other fuels (0,77). The category Transport (-0,73) had the largest negative effect. (Table 3)

The category with the largest positive effect on the change of the CPI compared to the previous month, was the Clothing and Footwear (0,38) while Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and other fuels (-0,30) had the most negative effect. (Table 3)

The following products/services had the most notable positive effect on the change of the CPI of February 2019 compared to February 2018: fresh vegetables (0,69) and electricity (0,61), while petroleum products (-0,68) had the largest negative effect. (Table 4)

Finally, clothing (0,37) had the most positive effect on the change of the CPI of February 2019 compared to the previous month were the following, whereas electricity (-0,34) had the largest negative effect. (Table 5)

Table 1

Categories of Goods and Services

CPI (2015=100)

Change (%)

January 2019

February 2019

Feb 19/ Feb 18

Feb 19/ Jan 19

Jan-Feb 19/ Jan-Feb 18

Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages

103,18

102,54

5,27

-0,62

6,12

Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco

97,91

98,07

0,81

0,16

0,46

Clothing and Footwear

88,22

93,46

0,70

5,94

0,93

Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas and Other Fuels

109,98

107,28

6,90

-2,45

8,41

Furnishings, Household Equipment and Routine Maintenance of the House

95,16

95,66

0,44

0,53

-0,47

Health

102,12

102,12

0,13

0,00

0,13

Transport

93,52

94,06

-4,86

0,58

-4,45

Communication

92,19

91,49

-6,02

-0,76

-5,69

Recreation and Culture

99,65

99,68

0,07

0,03

-0,01

Education

105,01

105,01

1,86

0,00

1,86

Restaurants and Hotels

103,45

103,55

2,35

0,10

2,35

Miscellaneous Goods and Services

100,00

99,71

0,92

-0,29

1,06

General Consumer Price Index

99,76

99,79

1,25

0,03

1,62

 

Table 2

Economic Origin

Weights

Change (%)

 Feb 19 / Feb 18

Feb 19/ Jan 19

General Index

10000

1,25

0,03

Agricultural goods

655

13,83

-2,25

Industrial goods (excl. petroleum products)

4195

-0,09

1,19

Electricity

319

20,43

-8,52

Petroleum products

550

-7,94

2,11

Water

57

0,00

0,00

Services

4224

0,94

-0,18

 

Table 3

Categories of Goods and Services

Weights

Effect (units)

Feb 19/ Feb 18

Feb 19/ Jan 19

Food and non-alcoholic beverages

1906

0,98

-0,12

Alcoholic beverages, tobacco

347

0,03

0,01

Clothing and footwear

721

0,05

0,38

Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels

1119

0,77

-0,30

Furnishings, household equipment and routine maintenance of the house

644

0,03

0,03

Health

637

0,01

0,00

Transport

1524

-0,73

0,08

Communication

439

-0,26

-0,03

Recreation and culture

575

0,00

0,00

Education

392

0,08

0,00

Restaurants and hotels

836

0,20

0,01

Miscellaneous goods and services

860

0,08

-0,02

General Consumer Price Index

10000

1,23

0,03

Note: Totals are calculated on the basis of the effects of the categories with infinite decimal figures and rounded up to two decimals when published. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding error. 

Table 4

Goods/Services

Effect (units)

Feb 19/ Feb 18

Positive effect

 

Fresh vegetables

0,69

Electricity

0,61

Potatoes

0,16

Other goods and services

0,66

Negative effect

 

Petroleum products

-0,68

Mobile telephony

-0,21

TOTAL

1,23

 

Table5

Goods/Services

Effect (units)

Feb 19/ Jan 19

Positive effect

 

Clothing

0,37

Petroleum products

0,15

Other goods and services

0,11

Negative effect

 

Electricity

-0,34

Fresh vegetables

-0,15

Potatoes

-0,11

TOTAL

0,03

 

Methodological notes

Definitions

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is compiled to measure the changes of prices over time of consumer goods and services acquired, used or paid by households. Specifically, the national CPI of Cyprus covers the consumption expenses of specific goods and services (shopping basket of goods and services), of the resident households and of the households that intend to live in Cyprus for at least one year. CPI is the official index for the estimation of inflation.

The Inflation shows the change of the CPI when compared with the index of the corresponding month of the previous year.

The Effect represents the amount of the overall change in the General Index which is accounted for by any given category.

Collection

The price collection is carried out only in urban districts of Lefkosia, Larnaka, Lemesos and Pafos. For each city, the fluctuations in the product prices each month, are weighted according to their population. Specifically, the weights for the four districts are: Lefkosia 42%, Lemesos 30%, Larnaka 18% and Pafos 10%.

The prices of 805 goods and services are recorded once every month, except for some seasonal products (e.g vegetables and fruits), meat and fuels, whose prices are collected every week (every Thursday).

Base year

The index reference period was 2005=100 for the period between January 2006 and December 2015. From January 2016 and onwards, the base year is 2015=100.

Classification                                                                                                                 

Until December 2015, COICOP 4 classification was used for the calculation and the dissemination of the CPI. From January 2016 and onwards, CYSTAT is adopting the ECOICOP classification satisfying relevant Eurostat’s Regulation. In other words, the lowest level of detail for the classification used in CPI is COICOP 5-digits.

Products/Services and weights

From January 2018 and onwards, the products included in the CPI as well as their corresponding weights have been revised. The revision was based on the results of the Household Budget Survey 2015/2016.

Further information:

Statistical Service (CYSTAT) Website, subtheme Consumer Price Index

Contact

Constandia Papageorgiou: Tel: +35722602116, Email: cpapageorgiou@cystat.mof.gov.cy

Andri Eftychiou: Τel: +35725878595, Email: aeftychiou@cystat.mof.gov.cy

(AH)